Next 4 games

Indiana's next four games are:

Illinois
Purdue
@ Iowa
@ Minnesota

In my opinion, we have to go 3-1 in those games to have a legitimate shot at winning the B10. We have to protect the home court, so obviously the Illinois game is huge. Beating Purdue in Assembly Hall ought to be a given. Then we need to split on the road against Iowa and Minnesota.

Let's say we lost both those road games. I think we need to be 12-4 to win the B10. That would mean that in the last 9 games of the season, not only would we need to win all our home games (including the game against MSU), but we'd need to go 3-2 on the road against Wisconsin, Penn State, Illinois, Purdue, and Michigan. No one wins at Illinois and Wisconsin. That leaves no margin for error.

Losing at MSU is not a big deal. But we need to win on the road somewhere, and those Iowa and Minnesota games are winnable.